Friday, November 30, 2012

Milan 1-0 Juventus


Juventus lost in Serie A for the second time under Antonio Conte.

Max Allegri continued with the 4-3-3 shape he used away at Napoli last week – Mario Yepes replaced Francesco Acerbi at the back, while Marco Amelia started in goal.

Antonio Conte picked Martin Caceres on the left side of defence in place of the injured Giorgio Chiellini – previously, Caceres has played to the right of the back three, with Andrea Barzagli moving across, but Barzagli remained in his usual position. Ahead of him, Mauricio Isla started rather than Stephane Lichtsteiner, who must have been more badly injured than was reported before the game.

Milan were a shade fortunate to win the game – it was universally agreed that the ball didn’t strike Isla’s arm for Robinho’s penalty – but overall they were the better side, as Gigi Buffon agreed. They defended solidly and attacked at great speed.

3 v 3


It’s always interesting when a 4-3-3 meets a 3-5-2. The front three of the first side have to make a decision about how they’re going to play without the ball – do they press three-versus-three, or do the wide players drop into deeper positions, allowing the opposition centre-backs time on the ball, but preventing them from passing into midfield easily?

Milan chose the former. Stephan El Shaaraway stayed high on the left, while there was a little more fluidity between Robinho and Kevin-Prince Boateng in the other two roles – after some early switching, Boateng stayed more permanently in the centre, with Robinho wide-right. Milan pressed Juventus heavily, particularly when Buffon was taking goal-kicks, and this disturbed their passing rhythm throughout the game – when Boateng pushed forward onto Leo Bonucci, Antonio Nocerino supported him by pressing Andrea Pirlo, and Buffon had nowhere to go.

Overall, Juve’s passing was dreadful for the majority of the game, and although sloppy distribution from the likes of Pirlo and Arturo Vidal can’t solely be attributed to Milan’s closing down, it was unquestionably a factor.

Boateng positioning


At the start of the game, with Riccardo Montolivo and Nocerino occupying Claudio Marchisio and Vidal, it seemed that Nigel de Jong and Pirlo would be the game’s two ‘free’ midfielders - and therefore only one winner in terms of creativity.

But after around 15 minutes, Boateng started to drop onto Pirlo and prevent him dictating the play from deep, and now Juve had more of a problem – Pirlo was unable to start attacks. The free man was now Bonucci, and he broke forward out of the back, and hit some excellent long diagonals to the two wing-backs, who pushed high up the pitch but also had freedom to move deep to collect the ball, knowing that Milan’s full-backs wouldn’t want to advance too high up the pitch.

However, both Milan full-backs had good games. On the right, Massimo De Sciglio made a couple of good interceptions and tackled Kwadwo Asamoah when he tried to dribble past. On the left, Kevin Constant didn’t give Isla any time to cross – he blocked more crosses than any other player in a single game in Europe’s major five leagues this season, a rather obscure but nevertheless telling statistic.

Milan breaks


When Milan got the ball, they broke quickly. Their formation was different from that used by Inter in their win over Juventus, but there was a similarity in how they kept three men up the pitch, and were fluid yet never naive in leaving Pirlo free. Boateng spun in behind him when Milan won possession, while El Shaaraway simply had too much speed for the Juve backline.
Pirlo’s defensive play has improved since he moved to Juve last year, but often it seemed like Milan were simply breaking three-against-three, with Pirlo offering little support. The forward running of Montolivo and Nocerino helped Milan play quick transitions, and they really should have managed a goal in open play.

Second half




After the break, Milan defended deeper, which gave the Juventus forwards more space between the lines to work in. Meanwhile, the full-backs tucked in closer to the centre-backs, which gave Juve’s wing-backs more room on the flanks, and gradually Juventus began to dominate, with Pirlo sometimes moving higher up the pitch, out of the reach of Boateng.

But the major story in the second half was the substitutions made by Conte and co. At half-time, Isla was removed with Simone Padoin replacing him. He’s a versatile player and can happily play wing-back – but generally on the left side, and he’s a much more defensive player than Isla. He didn’t take advantage of the freedom he was being afforded down the flank, and Juventus surely could have done with a more attack-minded player there – Simone Pepe, for example.

The second change – bringing on Sebastian Giovinco for Quagliarella – was a straight swap, but the final move was Paul Pogba on for Asamoah. Pogba went into the centre of midfield, while Caceres half-heartedly advanced further up on the left side – but  it didn’t help Juventus stretch the play or create chances, and it was difficult to see the logic in the switch.

Allegri, however, made one very clever change – taking off Robinho and bringing on Giampaolo Pazzini, who generally stayed to the right of the pitch. As a natural centre-forward, his hold-up play enabled Milan to get up the pitch at a time when Juventus were pinning them back, and when Milan’s attackers seemed to have run out of energy. Juve still dominated possession, but Pazzini was a useful out-ball, and Milan looked more composed.

Cristian Zapata for Mexes was a straight swap, apparently for injury reasons, while late on Mathieu Flamini replaced Boateng and sat deeper – giving energy and an extra midfielder after Juve had introduced Pogba.



Conclusion


Is the main story that Juve lost again, or that Milan actually played well? Either way, the latter’s 4-3-3 formation seems to suit the players, and certainly suited the challenge against Juventus, with Boateng playing an interesting role as a part-false nine, part-forward destroyer. Milan had to be brave, leaving three forwards high up the pitch, but after Boateng dropped onto Pirlo (rather than Bonucci), it seemed a logical strategy for countering.

However, it must be emphasised that Milan needed good games from individuals. The full-backs had to be clever with their positioning – not giving the Juve wing-backs time on the ball, but not leaving the centre-backs exposed two-versus-two, while in the centre of the pitch Milan simply won the individual bettle – and against this Juve midfield, it’s not often you can say that. Montolivo, in particular, was superb.
















Monday, November 26, 2012

Chelsea 0-0 Man City (Post-match review)

early caution from Benitez results in a dull game

Rafael Benitez started his Chelsea reign with a goalless draw against the champions.

Benitez kept Roberto Di Matteo’s front six intact, although played Branislav Ivanovic and David Luiz together at centre-back, a combination his predecessor never selected.

Roberto Mancini played four at the back, and continued with Edin Dzeko upfront, rather than Carlos Tevez – maybe after seeing how Chelsea were vulnerable to crosses last weekend. Vincent Kompany was fit to start at centre-back.

City dominated in terms of possession and shots, but neither side did enough to win the game.

Benitez caution


There was one overriding feeling from watching the game – Benitez’s defensive-minded approach managed to stop City from playing their best football, but also stifled his own attackers’ creative potential.

Previous games between ‘big’ clubs this season have been end-to-end goalfests, but this was a return to the type of big match we saw during the period Benitez was in charge of Liverpool (not simply in matches involving Liverpool, and not solely because of Benitez’s strategy, just because that period of football was a less attacking period of football than now).

Benitez’s love of structure was evident in three main ways. First, and most notably, the wide players were given stricter instructions in terms of positioning with and without the ball. For a start, there was no sporadic rotation of positions between Oscar, Juan Mata and Eden Hazard, as happened under Di Matteo (sometimes, very effectively). This meant Mata and Hazard had sole responsibility for protecting their respective full-backs – they retreated into a second bank of four, and although City tried to work overloads down the flank against Ashley Cole and Cesar Azpilicueta, City rarely found space to deliver good crosses towards Dzeko.

Compare the positions Mata and Hazard received the ball in during this match, compared to in the 3-2 defeat to Manchester United a month ago:


Second, Ramires played a more reserved role than under Di Matteo. A couple of times he made his trademark bursts forward into the attacking third, but generally he sat alongside Jon Obi Mikel and protected the zone in front of the defence. This was important – with Sergio Aguero floating around in that zone and David Silva drifting in from the right, City could have been vulnerable between the lines, but Ramires helped them keep that area of the pitch occupied.


His passing was actually more vertical under Benitez, because he was staying deep and trying to pass the ball into the final third, rather than motoring into the final third himself:






Third, Benitez’s obsession with remaining compact without the ball meant Fernando Torres dropped deep alongside Oscar, making Chelsea 4-4-2 without the ball. This was something Benitez favoured at Liverpool, particularly towards the end of his tenure, and it successfully prevented Gareth Barry and Yaya Toure from both receiving and playing simple forward passes. Again, however, it harmed Chelsea’s attacking capabilities, with Torres a long way from City’s defensive line.


Chelsea’s positions of interceptions and tackles were much deeper than against Manchester United:







Tactical battle:
As for the overall tactical battle – well, it was difficult to find an area either side were dominating. There was no thrust or movement from either midfield duo, and the central playmakers struggled to become involved; Oscar played deep as Chelsea spent long periods without the ball, while Aguero found his zone packed and couldn’t get space.
On the flanks, James Milner protected Aleksandar Kolarov effectively but offered little going forward aside from boundless energy, while on the other side Pablo Zabaleta’s stamina combined with Silva’s narrowness had early promise, but City could never quite find the final ball, with Chelsea having so many men in defensive positions.

Changes:
There were only two significant changes – Benitez asked Oscar and Hazard to switch at the start of the second half, which was a surprise – if anything, you’d think he’d want Mata to be more central, in order to combine with Torres.
Mancini brought on Tevez for Dzeko – who was again less impressive from the start – which meant Aguero moving forward to become the primary striker. His pace is often a threat with his pace in that position, but Chelsea defended very deep and prevented space in behind.

Conclusion
Chelsea’s first clean sheet in seven league games, and their first scoreless game for eight – Benitez’s emphasis upon structure and discipline clearly has had an impact at both ends of the pitch.
Chelsea won’t be this defensive for the duration of his tenure – however long that is – but it’s in keeping with what we expected from Benitez – he’ll emphasise caution at the start, before gradually becoming more adventurous as he trusts his players within the system. That will apply, in particular, to the positioning of the wide players, the freedom given to the full-backs, and the positioning of the defensive line.

Apart from Benitez’s debut, the match was forgettable.

















Saturday, November 24, 2012

Chelsea vs Man City - Math and aftermath






Two of the top three meet in an eagerly anticipated clash on Sunday as the hosts look to usher in a new era at Stamford Bridge following Roberto Di Matteo's shock dismissal.


PROBABLE LINEUPS

CHELSEA

Cech
Ivanovic, Cahill, Luiz, Cole
Mikel, Ramires,
Hazard, Oscar, Mata
Torres
MANCHESTER CITY

Hart
Maicon, Nastasic, Lescott, Zabaleta,
Toure, Garcia
Silva, Nasri,Tevez
Aguero
(As per Goal.com)

Bold Predictions and analysis  








Both teams are going through rough patches, accumulating in a week in Europe which saw Man City knocked out of the Champions League, and Chelsea likely to follow them to the Europa League after another loss.
Add to this the recent sacking of Roberto Di Matteo and subsequent appointment of Rafael Benitez, as well as the constant speculation over Roberto Mancini's long-term future at Man City, and it sets the scene perfectly for a tantalizing encounter in West London on Sunday.







oth Chelsea and Man City have expensive strike forces, with noticeably mixed fortunes, but the middle of the pitch is where this match is sure to be won.
Whether or not Benitez can get the best out of Fernando Torres, it is unlikely to happen in one match. This will leave much for the likes of Eden Hazard, Oscar and Juan Mata to do.
The most intriguing battle is the one between Juan Mata and Yaya Toure. The Spaniard will be hoping to have a say in the outcome of this match, but the Ivorian midfielder is perhaps the best-suited candidate to stop him.
One way or the other, much of the game is sure to be decided in the middle of the pitch.
It has been suggested that one of the reasons why Benitez was chosen as interim manager was his potential to get the most out of Fernando Torres.
Whether you believe this or not, it is likely that Torres will start Sunday's match.
Di Matteo may have taken the fall for a string of poor results, but the fact remains that Chelsea have a real lack of strikers, and the match against Juventus midweek has proved the need to play with at least one.
Benitez may want to eventually alter the 4-2-3-1 system favored by Di Matteo, but he is sure to stick with something familiar for Sunday's match.
Whether or not Torres is able to find the net, there are sure to be lots of goals on Sunday.
Fixtures between the top three this season have regularly been high-scoring affairs, and Carlos Tevez currently has a record of six premier league goals against Chelsea. Only two players have scored more.
What is more, the last time there was no score between these two sides was February 2005.






Rafa Benitez seems to have his work cut out for him.
Not a popular figure among Chelsea fans after his time at Liverpool, he will have to work to win over the fans, as well as win matches.
Sunday's game will tell us a lot about Benitez's reign, both in terms of how the fans welcome him, as well as what kinds of changes he might make on the pitch.





Roberto Mancini insisted that his future is secure after the club's recent Champion's League exit, but the club's ownership might not take kindly to a loss this weekend.
Although Sheikh Mansour is not as quick with the guillotine as Roman Abramovich, he may decide that Mancini must go before things get worse.
Alternatively, a win against Chelsea will set them back on track, leaving them sitting pretty at the top of the EPL table.
Some facts:

  • Chelsea has not gone three games at Stamford Bridge without a Premier League win since December 2008, but has lost just two of its last 15 home games.
  • The Blues have both scored and conceded in their last seven Premier League games.
  • Chelsea is behind only Arsenal with victories against Manchester City, the Blues' 20 trailing the Gunners' 21.
  • Manchester City striker Carlos Tevez has scored six goals in his last six Premier League games against Chelsea.
  • There have been five penalties awarded in the last six league meetings between the two sides.
  • City is unbeaten in their last eight Premier League away games, winning five.
  • The champions have conceded more than one goal away from home only once in 11 months in the league.

Introductory Post


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